Hi All ๐
Continuing my new series which gets released every Sunday/Monday before market open where I look at some potential adds/trims/buys/sells for the week.
The first 3 will be open to all and the last 2 will be for paid subscribers.
Last week we looked at ๐
Eos Energy | EOSE: I said Iโd consider EOSE at the $5 region and last week we fell 8% heading closer to my buying zone. Not there yet, but definitely a company Iโm interested in.
Cognex Corporation | CGNX: Not much movement last week. As I mentioned, itโs important to see if we can switch this resistance zone into a support zone. Until then, we wait. Fundamentally, a good play, but just have to be picky with the valuation and technicals in this market, and CGNX doesnโt pass my criteria just yet.
Upstart | UPST: UPST stabilized at the 200 SMA last week at $64. A very nice zone and one that I may add to this week. Iโll update paid subs if I do of course.
Oscar Health | OSCR: OSCR is now above the 100 and 200 daily SMAโs and just above the $15.50 support/resistance zone I drew out. Definitely some downside still but any time OSCR retreats and bounces of the $13 zone, Iโm interested in adds.
PayPal | PYPL: PYPL is one where I look at the technicals less than others. Management are doing all the right things to turn the business around. Theyโre hanging on to this $67 support and anything above there I feel fairly good about the stock moving forward.
5 Stocks Iโm Watching This Week๐
1. Harrow | HROW
HROW has been popping up in the retail community a little more lately. Theyโre a US based ophthalmic pharmaceutical company. I decided to look into the numbers a bit more and I really like what Iโm seeing.
They guided for $280M in revenue in FY25 meaning theyโve got to hit ~$170M in 2H 2025 which is the risk because thatโs a jump on 1H. However, if they do execute like they expect to theyโll have grown revenues at 42% YoY whilst trading at 5.7x 2025 sales. Thatโs quite a rare multiple to growth metric.
The issue here is that liquidity is a bit of a risk, and a good amount of share dilution is likely to continue to occur, but purely from a valuation perspective I think HROW is deserving of a re-rating.
Theyโre sitting at quite an interesting level about 36% of 52-week highs, and still above the 100 and 200 SMAโs. If they come down to the $32 level I think that is a screaming buy. Until then, Iโd be quite happy to initiate a smaller position which I may do this week.
2. Viking Therapeutics | VKTX
Iโm not a huge fan of biopharma companies, but VKTX is one I had to look into after Stanley Druckenmiller bought it and after his stellar track record in the pharma niche.
VKTX is a clinical-stage biopharma company developing therapies for metabolic and endocrine disorders in the obesity and liver niche. They have VK2375, a dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist which has so far led to nearly 15% weight loss in a Phase 2 trial over 13 weeks. The other major program they have is VK2809, an oral thyroid hormone receptor beta agonist also in Phase 2 trials which have so far been successful. Beyond this, theyโre also in a few Phase 1 trials.
Valuation is difficult with these biopharma companies, hence why I donโt invest in them much but Iโm definitely intrigued in this after Druckenmillerโs buy. These stocks move completely on catalyst driven events and VKTX has a couple going up. Perhaps worth a small investment if youโre a risk taker.
3. Lululemon Athletica | LULU
LULU report in a couple weeks, and quite recently the numbers havenโt been great with revenue and net income down QoQ.
Whatever happens I think LULU at the level in the chart below is a good opportunity with 200% upside back to ATHโs.
If you want to invest before earnings then note this:
Fwd PE of 13.5x
Gross profit margin of 58%
Historically high FCF margins.
The expectations are that LULU hits $1.44B in FCF in 2027 meaning theyโre trading at 16.5x 2027 FCF which relative to peers like ONON and NKE is quite an attractive multiple. LULU has historically traded up in the 30x FCF multiple range so if LULU does hit $1.44B (as analysts expect) then with a 30x multiple we have a $43.2B which is ~82% from today.
Definitely undervalued if LULU can slowly turn things around.
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