5 Charts For The Week

14/07/2025

Hi all 👋

I’m introducing this series which I’ll be releasing every Sunday/Monday before market open where I’ll be looking at some potential adds/trims/buys/sells for the week.

The first 3 will be open to all and the last 2 will be for paid subscribers.

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Last week we looked at ZETA, LYFT, SVM, UNH, and YOU.

1. ZETA broke below the level we laid out. The next support level is at $13.50.

2. LYFT is approaching the support we mentioned at $14.10 ish. It kind of reminds of SNAP (a company I speak about today).

3. SVM had an extremely strong week, now pushing for 12-month highs.

4. UNH spent another week far cheaper than it should be. No adds, just patience here.

5. YOU held above short term support, still looking for a push into the $32-35 range.

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1. TSLA

TSLA is a portfolio position for me and has been since it last hit $170. As always, the current business does not justify the ridiculous PE they’re given, but if you truly break down the potential in Optimus and Robotaxis, holding TSLA for the potential reward makes complete sense.

From a more technical perspective, the stock just bounced off the 100MA, and is holding support above previous March-May resistance zones. More shorter term, we are at a near term resistance so there’s every chance we don’t break through than and then we continue the short term downtrend. I have no intention to touch my TSLA position anytime soon. The only change I’d make is if we get a huge pullback to a level that would be silly to ignore.

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2. OSCR

I’ve painted out the main levels to watch for with OSCR, and currently we’ve seen no price action that suggests OSCR is looking to consolidate around those levels. The next zone is this bottom blue line at $13.64 (with the range being ~$13-14). We should come down to this level over the next week, and I think if we see some form of consolidation the opportunity to buy would be very good. From there, just getting back to $23 range would be a 65% return. Longer term, my PT is obviously far higher.

There continues to be very high short interest on these insuretech names like LMND, OSCR, and ROOT also. OSCR has been most harshly hit over the last month. Eventually when the thesis of these tech native firms overtaking legacy finally plays out, the returns I strongly believe will be pretty incredible.

For now, it’s just a case of building as large of a position as you can, adding when opportunities arise, and being patient.

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3. SNAP

SNAP is one that I’ve had my eye on for a while. Technically speaking, we’ve had a multi-year consolidation phase between $8 and $14 ish so purely trading these swings in this range would have been a very profitable strategy over the last 2 years. However, that’s not something I do.

The downside here below this major support range gives us a lot of confidence that we are sitting on a potentially very good risk to reward play.

Fundamentally, you’ve got 500M daily active users, 900M monthly active users, and $5.36B in annual revenue with estimates of $7.22B in 2027 meaning SNAP is currently trading for 2.1x 2027 sales which is too cheap for a multi-billion dollar social media giant that is still growing despite what many may think.

Even to the top of this current range ($18) gives you a 100% return on your money.