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Denis Gorbunov's avatar

Interesting read, Oliver. I enjoyed it. A question and a comment from me:

1). In what way is the AI bubble different from the dotcom bubble? Genuine question - would love to hear your take on it.

2). I've been keeping an eye on Newmont and Barrick Gold. I'll trade them short- or intermediate-term if I spot a good opportunity to enter the stocks. But I've been buying Au, Ag, Pt, and Pd bullion so I agree that precious metals can only go up long-term, especially in the context of war.

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Oliver | MMMT Wealth's avatar

1. In the dotcom bubble valuations were way ahead of earnings. Today, earnings are way ahead of valuations. Simple difference but very important.

2. Good to hear you agree on the precious metals case. If the synergies come through with Newcrest then I only see a bullish side to $NEM

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Denis Gorbunov's avatar

"earnings are way ahead of valuations." I understood that the companies in the AI sector are undervalued. But they must be overvalued, right?

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Oliver | MMMT Wealth's avatar

I think there's very high valuations yes. But I believe there's much more room to run as long as earnings still continue to beat.

Look at $NVDA for example. Wall Street analysts are way behind on earnings expectations each time. That didn't happen during the dotcom bubble.

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Denis Gorbunov's avatar

Oliver, Wall Street analysts are human beings prone to mistakes. I always ask myself what kind of value they provide and can't come up with an answer. Public companies can also set earnings expectations (and often do). They likely understand the businesses they're running better than analysts.

Institutional investors were still buying $NVDA at $270. The $400 level is a little too high for them as the buying stopped and moderate rotation out of the stock began. This doesn't mean the stock will collapse. I'd rather assume it'll have the same fate as $TSLA - basically, going nowhere after a huge bull run.

I'm not predicting. We'll see. I'm curious myself.

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Oliver | MMMT Wealth's avatar

Always enjoy hearing your views Denis. Let's see!

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